4A-5P Analysis
Active Model
Tuberculosis Philippines
Data Source
Updated 2026-02-04
Source NTP-DOH, WHO TB Reports 2024-2025, RITM, PhilHealth
Year
Region
Case
AVAIL 40%
ADOPT 37%
AWARE 75%
AFFORD 58%
MIN 37%

Awareness

Patient care-seeking behavior and diagnostic cascade

National Detection Gap

Formula: Population at Risk x Right Referral Rate x Uptake Rate

ParameterValue
Incident TB Cases A
724,000
Notified Cases A
544,948
Undiagnosed Cases Circulating A
179,052
Prevalence-to-Notification Ratio A
1.3
Target Detection Rate (End TB) A
90%
Current Detection Rate A
75%
Gap to Target Detection A
15%
Model Notes
  • Undiagnosed Cases Circulating: ~139K infectious in community

Regional Summary Build Up ()

Sorted by primary metric (ascending). Chart omitted — Recharts not available in SvelteKit port.

Config Source notified_q1_2025test_to_notification_yield
Regional trend chart (placeholder — Recharts removed)
RegionNotifiedTest YieldTrace
NCR68,00032.8%unverifiable
CAR68,00021.1%unverifiable
Region 168,00047.8%unverifiable
Region 268,00030.0%unverifiable
Region 368,00047.0%unverifiable
CALABARZON68,00044.2%unverifiable
MIMAROPA68,00037.8%unverifiable
Region 568,00031.1%unverifiable
Region 668,00044.8%unverifiable
Region 768,00032.4%unverifiable
NIR68,00046.7%unverifiable
Region 868,00038.4%unverifiable
Region 968,00039.1%unverifiable
Region 1068,00046.9%unverifiable
Region 1168,00040.1%unverifiable
Region 1268,00049.0%unverifiable
Region 1368,00025.8%unverifiable
BARMM68,00040.7%unverifiable
Data Quality:
APrimary
BProxy
CDerived
DRequired
UUnverifiable

Capacity Funnel

2024

Model-defined stage sequence

Capacity Flow
Estimated Incident Cases724,000 casesNotified Cases544,948 casesUndiagnosed Cases (Gap)179,052 cases
Bottleneck Summary
RankStageValue
PrimaryUndiagnosed Cases (Gap)179,052 cases
SecondaryNotified Cases544,948 cases
Awareness Cascade Checkpoint

Relevant cascade stages for this A dimension

Stage 1
Population at Risk (Prevalence)
739,000
Stage 2
Symptomatic / Suspects
575,770 -22.1%
Stage 3
Seeking Care (Any Provider)
450,000 -21.8%
Stage 8
Lab-confirmed Notified to ITIS
68,000 -84.9%